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Prediction: Growth and openness will reshape China’s insurance and reinsurance landscape

Economics
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Prediction

China’s insurance market continues to demonstrate remarkable growth momentum. In 2024, nationwide premium income exceeded RMB5.7 trillion (US$800.6 billion), representing an 11.5% year-on-year increase and underscoring the resilience of insurance demand despite broader economic pressures. Rising risk awareness among households and the expanding need for liability, health and property protection among corporates suggest that, by 2026, premium growth will continue to outpace the wider economy. At the same time, the rapid rise of the Shanghai International Reinsurance Exchange is reshaping the market landscape. By September 2025, 118 institutions had secured trading seats, including 28 foreign participants, highlighting its emergence as a hub for cross-border risk diversification and capital allocation. Looking ahead, regulatory innovation and real-time clearing mechanisms are expected to catalyse further co-operation between domestic and international players, cementing China’s growing influence in the global reinsurance arena. For insurers worldwide, this represents both an entry point to the Chinese market and a strategic opportunity to enhance international risk management and collaboration.

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