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Geopolitics

Prediction: Critical subsea infrastructure will be the next battleground for global conflict

Geopolitics
Marine, Energy and Transport
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Prediction

Worldwide political instability and geopolitical conflict will increase the risk of losses affecting energy infrastructure built at sea, such as offshore wind installations and undersea pipelines. The Nord Stream and Baltic connector losses were a wake-up call for all governments and the insurance market. This in turn puts pressure on the market to insure these subsea infrastructures at the risk of major losses disrupting the (re)insurance market. The resulting exclusion by (re)insurers of forms of state-sponsored sabotage from subsea energy insurance risks and other critical infrastructure will create a gap in the market. Nevertheless, offshore/subsea infrastructures will continue to become increasingly important for the energy industry and further investment will be critical, especially to ensure that counter-measures are put in place to prevent large scale losses from occurring.

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