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Prediction: Reinsurer focus on Russia/Ukraine related aircraft leasing losses will intensify

Geopolitics
Bermuda Market, Reinsurance
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Prediction

Reinsurers and retrocessionaires will spend 2025 with an intensified focus on monitoring and engaging with the issues emerging from the litigated claims regarding Russia/Ukraine related aircraft leasing losses which have dominated the aviation/specialty insurance market since the conflict began in February 2022.  The long awaited 'mega trial' in the Lessor Policy claims, listed for 11.5 weeks in the Commercial Court from 2 October 2024, and the operator policy claims following some time thereafter are proving to be increasingly absorbing for reinsurers and retrocessionaires.  The gradual resolution of the underlying claims, whether through settlement or judgment, should provide increased clarity as to potential ultimate exposures and the many and labyrinthine routes through the retro market by which those exposures will reach reinsurers/retrocessionaires.

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