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Economics

Prediction: COVID claims will progress to reinsurance markets

Economics
Bermuda Market, Reinsurance
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Prediction

As the litigated claims for COVID-19 related business interruption losses complete their journeys through the Commercial Court and the appellate courts during 2025, insurers' attention will naturally switch to their own outwards reinsurance recoveries.  As losses crystallise, an ever increasing flow of claims into the reinsurance and retrocessional markets will see a spotlight fall on claims presentations to excess of loss catastrophe contracts. Underwritten on a 'Named Perils' basis, the contracts only provide cover for loss caused by the perils specifically listed as covered (in contrast with 'All Risks' coverage, which applies to loss from all causes not specifically listed as excluded). Those contracts typically provide cover for “Natural Perils, including but not limited to…” and “Non-Natural perils as follows” and a key battleground will be whether COVID-19 is a Natural Peril where the list of Natural Perils is typically limited to seismic, flood, weather, and fire related perils (i.e. natural perils that arose by way of physical natural catastrophe).

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